A short squeeze can generate huge returns, but investors must know how to spot it and employ the right trading strategy. It is one of the most controversial and popular topics among traders. This is because it has a potential for high losses or profits depending on which side you are on.
This article will explain short squeezes and how they relate to float and volume.
What is a Short Squeeze?
A short squeeze is an unusual market phenomenon that happens when traders bet that a stock will fall, but it rises instead. This rise in stock prices forces many short sellers to close their positions to cut losses. However, this move pushes the price even higher.
In short-selling, investors borrow stock and then sell it, hoping to profit by repurchasing it at a lower price. This phenomenon begins when a heavily shorted asset rises in price unexpectedly. Since short sellers close their positions by buying, their exit pushes the prices higher.
What is the Float?
Float is the total number of shares available for the general public to purchase and sell. It excludes the restricted stock that insiders hold. But, if insiders sell their stock in the market, it becomes part of the float.
A company's float is calculated by subtracting the restricted stock from the company's outstanding stock. Restricted stock is stock under a lock-up period, and thus investors cannot buy or sell it.
The company is not responsible for how the investing public trades shares within the float. Floats can help investors understand a company's ownership structure. Restricted shares indicate the level of control insiders have.
What is Volume?
Volume is the total quantity of stocks, shares, or contracts buyers and sellers exchange for a specific asset or security. It is measured on stocks, contracts, options, bonds, futures contracts, and other commodities.
The trade volume measures a market's liquidity and activity during a specific period. A higher trading volume shows buyers and sellers transact more shares for a particular asset during a specific period. It means better order execution and more liquidity and is thus better than lower volumes.
The Relationship Between Float and Volume
Low-float stocks are generally more volatile than stocks with high float. This is because it is hard to find buyers or sellers with few shares available, leading to a low trading volume.
The increased volatility of stocks with a low float makes them ideal for day trading. They provide excellent opportunities for position trading or scalping. However, this doesn't mean that investors automatically trade them; they must consider other factors.
When the trading volume exceeds the float, it means that a trading catalyst is causing a high buying and selling activity. This trading phenomenon is common with companies with low floats and tends to appear during important events.
Events that can boost the trading volume include an initial public offering (IPO), a takeover bid, or an announcement of corporate earnings. Such events can cause the stock price to go up exponentially.
How Low-Float, High-Volume Stocks Experience Short Squeezes
Low-float stocks are some of the most volatile and have potential short-term gains if they experience a short squeeze. Since these stocks have fewer shares trading, an imbalance in demand and supply can skyrocket the share price. Likewise, the price can fall as quickly as it can rise, making them riskier.
Stocks with low float and high volume can be challenging to short. This is because they are hard to borrow and can incur a cost. Moreover, they need higher maintenance margins and borrowing rates. Short sellers are often trapped when there are no more shares to borrow. This forces them to chase stocks even higher in the open market, triggering a short squeeze.
Conclusion
Short squeezes accelerate stock prizes, presenting opportunities for investors to grow their portfolios. Contrarian investors anticipate this phenomenon and buy these stocks. If you are interested in short squeezes, join our membership and the conversation.